Geopolitical··Severity 6
Explosions in Iran as US launches new strikes
Explosions reported to have been heard in northwestern Iran's Tabriz, as well as capital Tehran and southern Iran.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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