Geopolitical··Severity 6
Exército libanês começa a assumir controle de zonas - piloto sob acordo para retirada de Israel do sul do país
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: oglobo.globo.com
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