Geopolitical··Severity 8
Steep rise in civilian casualties in Russia-Ukraine war, UN says
Increasing use of long-range missiles and drones against targets far from the front line is worsening the civilian toll.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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