Geopolitical··Severity 8
Ukrainian forces strike MiG-29 fighter jet and Pantsir-S1 system at airfield in Russia's Kursk Oblast – video
Ukraine's defence forces have struck a Russian MiG-29 fighter jet and a Pantsir-S1 surface-to-air missile and anti-aircraft gun system at the Khalino airfield in Russia's Kursk Oblast.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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