Geopolitical··Severity 6
Mykhailo Drapatyi appointed new commander-in-chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces
Following six days of protests, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has dismissed Oleksandr Syrskyi as commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and appointed Mykhailo Drapatyi to replace him.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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