Geopolitical··Severity 6
US ‘open’ to negotiations with Iran but Tehran not ‘serious’, Rubio says
US Secretary of State says Iranian control over Strait of Hormuz sets 'dangerous precedent', as attacks continue.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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