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Geopolitical··Severity 8

War on Iran: Hegseth wants $70B more to keep fighting

Iran activated air defence systems across Tehran on the 11th night of US strikes.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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