Geopolitical··Severity 6
Yemen Houthis claim attacks on Red Sea tankers as US launches 12th night of strikes on Iran – Middle East crisis live | US - Israel war on Iran
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
43%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: theguardian.com
Checking access status…