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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Yemen Houthis claim attacks on Red Sea tankers as US launches 12th night of strikes on Iran – Middle East crisis live | US - Israel war on Iran

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

43%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: theguardian.com

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