Military··Severity 8
Ukraine’s new military chief pledges to escalate retaliation against Russia
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov is due to meet US counterpart Marco Rubio, but progress towards peace unlikely.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
73%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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