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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Iran says 'no nuclear activity' at Kolang Kouh

Iran says 'no nuclear activity' at Kolang Kouh Despite American and Israeli claims, Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson Esmail Beqaei denied the presence of any nuclear activity at Kolang Koukh, or the Pickaxe Mountain. "Iran’s nuclear activities have been fully declared to the IAEA in accordance with its safeguards obligations. Washington’s obsessive focus on Kolang Kouh where no nuclear activity is taking place is nothing more than a fabricated pretext for aggression, destruction, and sabotage," Beqaei said in a post on X. The repeated U.S. attacks and threats against Iran’s peaceful nuclear facilities not only constitute a flagrant violation of the core principles of the UN Charter, international law, and the relevant resolutions of the IAEA Board of Governors, General Conference, and UN Security… — Esmaeil Baqaei (@IRIMFA_SPOX) July 22, 2026

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

68%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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