Geopolitical··Severity 6
Protesters in Kyiv urged to continue protest for return of former defence minister Fedorov
Veteran Dmytro Koziatynskyi, who previously called on people to protest against then commander-in-chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, has urged Ukrainians to join a protest in Kyiv on 24 July demanding that Mykhailo Fedorov be reinstated as defence minister.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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