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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Rising Costs from the New Hormuz Blockade

The full consequences of the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz can be postponed for only so long. Since July 7, when suspected Iranian attacks damaged three tankers in or near the strait, leading U.S. President Donald Trump to declare a few days later that the U.S.-Iran ceasefire was “over,” transits have slowed to […] The post Rising Costs from the New Hormuz Blockade appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

69%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

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