Geopolitical··Severity 9
Trump threatens Iranian infrastructure over Strait of Hormuz attacks
US President Donald Trump warned on Wednesday that the US would destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant every time Tehran attacked shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. The threat came as Washington and Iran exchanged fresh strikes, regional missile alerts sounded and diplomatic efforts remained stalled.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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76%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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