Geopolitical··Severity 9
US renews strikes on Iran as Trump threatens to attack underground nuclear site
The US president's threat to target a key Iranian nuclear site came ahead of the 11th consecutive night of attacks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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