Geopolitical··Severity 6
Who will win the war of neo-mercantilists?
China’s high degree of self-sufficiency also reduces its vulnerability to coercion by others
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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