Geopolitical··Severity 6
US aggression against Iran could beget argument to field nukes inside republic — Lavrov
"When Israel and the United States launched their aggression against Iran, the International Atomic Energy Agency had raised no concerns about the state of the country’s peaceful nuclear program," the Russian foreign minister noted
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
43%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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