← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 6

Cuba’s Population Decline Deepens With Deaths Outpacing Births

Cuba’s population collapse continued unabated last year, as births declined and people continued to flee an island that’s being crushed by an economic crisis and US sanctions.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Checking access status…