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Geopolitical··Severity 6

The Iran - US truce is holding , but Tehran is facing a new crisis

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

32%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: moneycontrol.com

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