Geopolitical··Severity 6
Trial date set in US drug trafficking case against Nicolas Maduro
The US in April allowed Venezuela to pay for Maduro's and Flores's legal defence, something previously prohibited under US sanctions.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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