Social··Severity 6
June’s encouraging inflation will be discounted by Bank of England
Falling fuel prices are a big contributor to lower annual rate, but US-Iran ceasefire collapse means trend won’t last
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
24%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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