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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Baulking at shipping sanctions, Greece balances Ukraine aid, fear of Russia

Sanctions on Russian LNG would hurt Greek shipping, argues Athens, but it also fears Moscow’s hybrid warfare.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

66%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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