Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran warns of regional turmoil if US threats and attacks do not stop
Tehran's chief negotiator says if Iran's 'security is not ensured, no infrastructure will be safe'.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
71%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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