Military··Severity 9
Middle East live: US launches 11th night of Iran strikes as diplomacy falters
The US military launched an 11th straight night of strikes on Iran early Wednesday, with President Donald Trump saying the US was "not finished" attacking the Middle Eastern nation. The strikes followed Tehran's attacks on Gulf states, and its Houthi allies threatening to blockade Saudi ports. Follow our liveblog for the latest developments.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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