← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 6

Venezuela Oil: Batistas’ Fluxus Clinches Stake in PDVSA Joint Venture

Brazil’s billionaire Batista brothers have acquired a stake in an oil production project in Venezuela, the latest deal to emerge in a country that the Trump administration is vowing to reinvigorate after years of sanctions.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

37%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Checking access status…