Geopolitical··Severity 6
Middle East crisis live : US renews strikes on Iran as Trump threatens to attack nuclear site very heavily | US - Israel war on Iran
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
45%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: theguardian.com
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