Geopolitical··Severity 6
Streeting refuses to commit to 3% defence spending ambition
Previous defence minister resigned after warning current spending plan was not enough to keep UK safe
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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