Geopolitical··Severity 9
Trump threatens to bomb Tehran back for every Iranian attack in Hormuz
The US president said Washington would destroy one piece of civilian infrastructure — including sites near Tehran — each time Iran fires on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, as the war entered its 11th consecutive day of US strikes.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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