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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Oil jumps to $96 after Houthis attack two Saudi Arabian oil tankers

Price rises after Yemeni rebels say they hit the Encelia and the Layla

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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