Geopolitical··Severity 9
Houthis claim attack on oil tankers as US launches more strikes on Iran
The Houthi attacks would be the first in the Red Sea since the Iran-backed group announced a "maritime embargo" against Saudi Arabia.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
76%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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