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Social··Severity 6

Russian forces attempt to breach border at new points in Kharkiv Oblast – video

Russian forces are attempting to expand the zone of active combat operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

30%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

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