Economic··Severity 7
ECB keeps interest rates unchanged amid Iran war inflation
The European Central Bank has kept its base interest rates steady but said it was "closely monitoring" the energy price shock. The impact of the war against Iran on energy costs has pushed inflation over ECB targets.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
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