Geopolitical··Severity 6
Rubio meets Russia Lavrov in Manila to try to revive prospect of US helping end war in Ukraine
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: bostonglobe.com
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