Military··Severity 8
Military briefing: can the US reopen the Strait of Hormuz by force?
Renewed air campaign has yet to reassure shipowners the waterway can be made safe from Iranian attacks
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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