Geopolitical··Severity 6
Top US and Russian diplomats discuss Ukraine war in Manila
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov 'reaffirmed readiness' for political and diplomatic settlement to Russia-Ukraine war.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
39%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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