Social··Severity 6
Oil surges past $100 in a first since May as Middle East conflicts rage
Oil prices rise for a fifth day after Yemen's Houthis say they struck Saudi Arabian oil tankers in the Red Sea.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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