← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 6

专家 : 美伊冲突或将持久拉锯 对抗升级风险加大 _ 新闻频道 _ 中华网

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

35%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: news.china.com

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