← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 8

US strikes on southern Iran infrastructure widen war

The latest US strikes on tunnels, bridges, and other infrastructure further inland from the Strait of Hormuz could indicate that Washington is shifting gears in Iran.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: DW World

Checking access status…