← Scenarios catalogue
Economic··Severity 7

ECB holds interest rates at 2.25%

Central bank pauses despite renewed surge in oil prices

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Checking access status…