Geopolitical··Severity 6
Trump says US will destroy a bridge or power plant for each Iranian attack in the Strait of Hormuz
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: santafenewmexican.com
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