Geopolitical··Severity 6
Trump’s dubious nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia
An accord lacking ‘gold standard’ safeguards on enrichment would carry proliferation risks
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
36%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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