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Geopolitical··Severity 8

US attacks Iran for 12th night as the House approves defence spending

Strikes from the US on Iran are raining down for the 12th night in a row.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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