← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 9

Houthi attacks raise fears of wider Middle East conflict and more global economic damage

The Iran-backed group in Yemen has threatened to target Saudi vessels in a vital shipping route.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

74%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: BBC World

Checking access status…