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Geopolitical··Severity 6

US-Saudi nuclear deal hinges on normalisation with Israel

President Trump said a proposed US-Saudi civilian nuclear deal is subject to Saudi Arabia joining the Abraham Accords

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

36%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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