Geopolitical··Severity 9
Trump warns of largest strikes on Iran yet as Tehran lashes out across Gulf
The US president's threat comes after another day of Iranian attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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