Social··Severity 6
Russian military analyst implicates Ukraine's new army chief in Donbass crimes in 2014
Andrey Marochko is adamant that nothing will change on the line of engagement with the appointment of Drapaty as the Ukrainian army’s commander-in-chief
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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