Military··Severity 6
US rejects Iran’s claim of control over Strait of Hormuz
Commercial vessels continue to use the strait with US military support, CENTCOM said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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