Geopolitical··Severity 6
Trump throws controversial US-Saudi Arabia nuclear pact into doubt
Also in today’s newsletter, where is the US keeping $13bn of Venezuela’s oil money?
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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