← Scenarios catalogue
Military··Severity 8

Situation with Middle East conflict getting out of control — UN secretary-general

Antonio Guterres said that "it is time to step back", noting that "there is no military solution to the conflict"

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

65%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Checking access status…