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Social··Severity 6

South Africa rejects ICC petition

The Department of International Relations and Cooperation said the filing failed to satisfy the "statutory legal triggers and jurisdictional requirements necessary for action by the Court."

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

25%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: CGTN World

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