Geopolitical··Severity 6
Has Russia helped Iran target CIA sites in the Gulf?
Reports of Iran targeting sites belonging to the US's CIA first emerged in the early days of the Iran war.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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